Is it really heading towards 5? The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has reached 4.86%, setting a new high in over a year.
At the beginning of the new year, while market participants are speculating how many times the Federal Reserve can lower interest rates, a scene that worries many cross-asset market traders is still "playing out"; the yield on long-term USA bonds has not stopped its march towards 5.
Trump stirs the market, the dollar finally falls, but U.S. long-term bond yields hit a 14-month high.
Due to reports that Trump's tariff policy was not as strong as expected, the dollar temporarily fell by 1%, but after Trump refuted the claims, it recovered nearly half of its losses. The US bond market began to price in the possibility of Trump continuing to disrupt the financial markets, with the yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond rising by 5 basis points to 4.86% during the session, reaching the highest level since November 2023.
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This week, the total amount of US government bonds issued reached 119 billion USD, raising doubts in the market regarding demand.
By this Wednesday, the USA government plans to issue a total of 119 billion dollars in government bonds.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On January 6th, 561.68K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.41 Million Open Interest
On January 6th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 561.68K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 33.95% of
Treasury Yields Mixed as U.S. Labor Is Expected to Cool Slowly -- Market Talk