TMF241115P47500
- 0.99
- +0.25+33.78%
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF Newsroom
Trump's proposed economic policies may not all be fully implemented? Wharton School professor: He does not want to disrupt the bull market!
①Jeremy Siegel, a finance professor at the Wharton School of Business, said on Monday that in order to avoid losing the support of stock and bond investors, Trump may not fully implement his proposed economic policies; ②he pointed out that Trump has been keen in the past to use the stock market as a measure of the success or failure of a president, and as such, he may not want to disrupt the current bull market.
Trade fearlessly against Trump 2.0 inflation risks, as traders massively buy US bonds at bargain prices.
ETF traders are heavily betting on US treasuries, believing that interest rates have indeed peaked.
"Widow's trades" are still ongoing! Last week, the TMF, which tripled its bottom in US treasuries, saw a record inflow of funds.
You bought TMF because you believed that interest rates would fall, but this trade seems to have never worked out. It has hurt many people's hearts.
Across the board breakthrough! Last night, these four numbers interpreted the "Trump trade".
1) 350, 6000, 44000, 88000 - Do you know the meaning of these series of numbers? 2) They represent the integer positions reached by Tesla, s&p 500 index, Dow Jones, and Bitcoin respectively yesterday's breakthrough.
Beware of the soaring US bond yields! 'Doomsday Doctor' warns: Trump may attract the return of the 'bond vigilantes'.
Rudy Giuliani says that Trump's policies may see the return of 'bond debt police'.
"Apocalypse Doctor": The bond market will punish the "Trump policy".
Rubini stated that if bond yields rise and the stock market adjusts, the "bond guardian" believes that Trump's policies are unsustainable, so economic advisors would warn Trump not to adopt radical populist economic policies, but rather to be more moderate.
Futu Morning Post | 'Trump trade' continues to rise! Cryptos rise hand in hand with Tesla; only four seats away from taking the House of Representatives, Republicans close to complete control of Congress.
The People's Bank of China reported that RMB loans increased by 16.52 trillion yuan in the first ten months; Pan Gongsheng, the head of the central bank, stated that they are guiding financial capital to invest early, invest small, invest long-term, and invest in hard technology.
US stocks early trading | Dow rose more than 1%, Salesforce rose more than 4%; 'Trump trade' continues to be hot, concept stock Coinbase rose more than 17%, Tesla rose more than 6%
On the evening of the 11th peking time, US stocks opened higher on Monday. The main stock indexes are trying to continue last week's uptrend. Bitcoin broke through $82,000. The market is focusing on the composition of the next US government and the monetary policy outlook of the Federal Reserve.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook: Three major futures are rising before the market, with the s&p 500 expected to once again break through the 6000 mark; cryptos concept stocks are collectively soaring, with MSTR and MARA both rising more than 10%.
Tesla rose more than 6% in pre-market trading, the company is improving the design of Optimus robot; Apple's self-developed 5G chip will debut as early as 2025, Qualcomm will suffer heavy losses; Trump may drive a financial wave, Morgan Stanley: will embrace the "influential" first two years.
Historic week comes to an end! The most anticipated event in the market this week: usa CPI.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch stated that the CPI and core CPI in the United States in October are expected to remain flat compared to the previous month, with increases of 0.2% and 0.3% respectively. This is unlikely to cause a significant change in inflation expectations and will not threaten the Fed's inflation target. Bank of America Merrill Lynch also emphasized not to go against market trends, as the post-election momentum typically lasts for the following weeks.
Options Outlook | Nvidia's performance day faces a test! Post-performance stock price volatility may reach 9.3%; Alibaba's call ratio approaches eight-tenths! The options market is hot, focusing on call orders.
The current implied volatility of MARA is ±11.6%. Compared to the previous four quarters, the price change after earnings was approximately 10.6%. The market expects the stock price to have intensified fluctuations this time. Statistical analysis of MARA's performance on the past 12 earnings days shows a 25% probability of price increase, with a maximum increase of +8% and a maximum decrease of -16.5%.
Higher U.S. Growth Could Hurt Long-Dated Bonds -- Market Talk
Don't be too happy about the U.S. stocks! Bond giants: Trump 2.0 may force a halt to interest rate cuts.
Pimco's Chief Investment Officer stated that Trump's economic plan may be like adding fuel to the fire for the usa economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to stop cutting interest rates, thereby reversing the rising trend of US stocks after Trump's victory.
U.S. Treasury Yields Seen High Enough to Attract Investors
"XinMi Federal Communications": If Trump wants to dismiss Powell, Powell will resort to legal action.
Powell has long been ready to fight back against Trump's threat of dismissal. For Powell, an unprecedented legal showdown is necessary, and he may even have to pay for it himself.
Is a 5% 10-year t-note not far away?
Trump is about to return to the White House, greatly disrupting the outlook for US debt, tax cuts and high tariffs as well as fiscal plans will push up US bond yields, eventually the 10-year yield may rise to 5%.
"End the Federal Reserve"? Musk supports!
Elon Musk's comments, though brief, reflect a wider pressure movement on the issue of the independence of the Federal Reserve in the United States. This may lay the groundwork for Donald Trump's first major showdown on his comprehensive economic plan.
Futu Express | Latest Wall Street Consensus: Trump 2.0 era, Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts; blowing up the 'shorts'! Tesla surged nearly 30% in a week, with the market cap returning to one trillion US dollars.
A historic moment! Bitcoin reaches $0.08 million, BlackRock Bitcoin Fund surpasses its flagship gold fund; Trump reiterates his refusal to sell stocks, DJT stock price soars 15% upon hearing the news; Jinglin's Q3 positions revealed: selling Microsoft, Nvidia, and adding 0.59 million shares of Apple.
The US bond market experienced a volatile week after Trump's victory, and the future trend still remains uncertain.
Trump's proposed policies are expected to stimulate economic growth prospects, prompting traders to lower their expectations for the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut next year, dispelling hopes of a rise in US bonds as the Fed drastically eases policy.
Fed's Kashkari: Inflation risks still exist in the usa, may cut rates again in December.
There may be another interest rate cut in December.