TLT241101P98000
- 7.15
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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On November 1st, 787.66K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.14 Million Open Interest
On November 1st ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 787.66K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 31.78% of
US stocks early market | Non-farm data does not change the rise of US stocks, with all three major indices collectively surging; growth tech stocks erase yesterday's slump, amazon soars 6% approaching historical highs.
Apple fell by 0.54%, profits were dragged down by a hundred billion in back taxes; Intel rose by 5%, fourth quarter revenue and adjusted earnings per share guidance exceeded expectations.
"Super huge upset"! Non-farm payroll employment in October increased by only 0.012 million, will the Fed cut interest rates next week?
The USA non-farm payrolls added only 0.012 million jobs, a figure possibly affected by hurricanes and strikes, leading traders to increase bets on a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in November...
US stock market outlook: Non-farm data cools significantly! Expectations of interest rate cuts increase for the year; Amazon and Intel performance exceed expectations, easing the downward trend of growth tech stocks yesterday.
Apple's iPhone revenue turned around last quarter, but sales in China were lackluster, dropping nearly 2% pre-market; Buffett has continuously increased his shareholding in Sirius XM, raising his stake to 33%.
Tonight, be prepared to face extreme winds and heavy rain: in the most extreme case, will non-farm payrolls turn negative?
① As the United States presidential election is approaching in four days, and the Federal Reserve's November decision is just six days away, tonight's release of the October non-farm payroll data in the USA is undoubtedly expected to attract the attention of all market participants; ② The unpredictability of this highly anticipated non-farm report seems destined to be the biggest of the year; ③ In the most extreme scenario, non-farm payrolls may even show a negative value.
Trump and Harris Plans Could Stoke Inflation. That Means a More Hawkish Fed
"Trump trade" and dealing with "Trump trade"
Analysis suggests that, in response to potential tariff shocks, it may be appropriate to adjust the exchange rates of the Renminbi to cope, and it is recommended to avoid some heavy asset enterprises. Potential tariffs may lead to a contraction in external demand, prompting a stronger focus on stimulating domestic demand, potentially elevating consumer to an unprecedented level in financial stimulus.
Futu Morning Post | Non-farm payrolls are in trouble tonight? Fed's 'hot ticket committee' takes preventive measures; Excellent stocks celebrate! Amazon, Intel stock prices soar after hours.
In September, PCE experienced an 'expected rebound', which did not affect the gradual interest rate cut expectation; usa White House economic adviser Bernstein: Inflation is approaching the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
U.S. stock market closing | S&P Nasdaq posts its largest two-month decline! The technology 'Big Seven' all suffered losses, with Microsoft falling more than 6%.
S&P fell nearly 2%, showing the worst performance in nearly two months along with the Nasdaq. In October, the S&P and Dow fell by about 1%, while the chip and Chinese concept indexes fell by over 4% for the month.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 31st, 564.58K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.95 Million Open Interest
On October 31st ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 564.58K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 44.85% of
US stock market early trading | Trump's media technology group triggered another circuit breaker during the session, now down 10%; china concept stocks fall, alibaba, pdd holdings down more than 1%
Meta fell nearly 3%, the metaverse division continued to suffer serious losses in the third quarter, raising the full-year capital expenditure guidance; Estee Lauder narrowed its decline to 18%, the company withdrew its 2025 fiscal year outlook and lowered its dividend.
The Federal Reserve's most favored inflation indicators unexpectedly accelerated, prompting calls for a 'pause in interest rate cuts' in the market.
In September, the so-called core personal consumption expenditure price index (core PCE), excluding volatile food and energy items, increased by 0.3% from the previous month, and rose by 2.7% compared to the same period last year.
US Stock Market Outlook | The US core PCE annual rate in September remained unchanged from the previous month, with the three major futures indexes maintaining a downward trend; Increased competition in AI causing market concerns? microsoft, Meta shares f
Bank of Japan Governor: Will not be affected by political turbulence, will continue to raise interest rates if the economic and price outlook is achieved; Bridgewater Associates founder Dalio: Both US presidential candidates are unsettling.
Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Slow With Unemployment Steady
Daily options update | Bearish 'big gift'! One put option on super micro computer makes a whopping 84 times profit; 'Trump trade' fizzles out? Trump Media Group's put/call ratio is 45%
Pre-earnings trading volume surged! The trading volume of Meta options nearly doubled to 0.6 million contracts compared to the previous trading day, with put options accounting for 60%. On the options chain, there is tension between long and short positions. The highest volume of call options, expiring this Friday with a strike price of $600, was 0.016 million contracts, with an open interest of 7 thousand contracts.
Be careful, will the Capitol Hill riot happen again? Is the dominance of the US dollar in danger?
Some Wall Street veterans warn that if a controversial election result leads to another riot, confidence in the US dollar and US government bonds may be pushed to the brink of collapse......
The Fed cut interest rates significantly, why did mortgage loan rates in the USA 'rise instead of fall'?
Analysis believes that, on the one hand, it is due to the surge in implied volatility of USA Treasury options, investors facing the risk of borrowers repaying early need a higher yield as compensation. On the other hand, the Option Adjusted Spread (OAS) of MBS is rising, investors are demanding additional returns to compensate for MBS risks.
U.S. Treasury Department's Major Quarterly Refinancing Announcement: Maintaining the same long-bond auction size and guidance unchanged.
The US Treasury Department maintains the quarterly auction size of its long-term debt unchanged, with quarterly refinancing set at $125 billion, and reiterates its guidance that there will be no increase in issuance size 'at least in the next few quarters,' all in line with market expectations. However, some strategists warn that this is the Biden administration's final refinancing plan, and the outcome of next week's election may bring changes to US debt management strategies and related personnel.
Futu Morning Post | Citigroup strategist talks about the 'Trump winning trade', a good opportunity to profit from the surge in US stocks; AI capital spending continues to expand! Microsoft, Meta both fell after hours.
USA Treasury Department's heavyweight quarterly refinancing announcement: Maintain long-term bond auction scale and guidance unchanged; the U.S. presidential election is undecided, the dollar hedging cost has risen to the highest since 2022; it will impact 3000 dollars next year! Goldman Sachs raises gold price expectations, stating that central bank demand expectations have quadrupled.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 30th, 614.14K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.75 Million Open Interest
On October 30th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 614.14K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 36.59% of