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Goldman Sachs still expects the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates, and small cap stocks deserve more attention.
Goldman Sachs stated: "Although the results of the usa election have increased the uncertainty in economic trends, we still expect the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates in December and early 2025."
Federal Reserve officials: It is currently uncertain to what extent interest rates can be lowered.
①Kansas Federal Reserve Chair Schmiede stated that although the initial rate cut by the Federal Reserve reflects confidence in calming inflation, it is still uncertain how far the interest rates will be lowered; ②Within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Schmiede's stance leans towards being hawkish, but he will not have voting rights on monetary policy until next year.
The Federal Reserve's model 'alarmed' for the first time in ten years, are U.S. stocks overvalued?
MarketWatch regular contributor Mark Hulbert stated that, according to the Federal Reserve model, the current market conditions are unfavorable for the stock market. However, there is no need to worry because the reference value of the Federal Reserve model is limited. However, this does not mean that the U.S. stock market is not overvalued, investors may have other reasons to be concerned about the future prospects of the stock market.
It can still rise by 10%! Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for the s&p 500 index for next year.
According to goldman sachs' baseline forecast, the economy and corporate profits in the usa will continue to grow, thereby boosting the stock market.
6500 points! Wall Street's 'former big short' firmly calls the US stock market, and provides these investment recommendations.
Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Michael Wilson has set a target price of 6,500 points for the S&P 500 index by the end of 2025, a 10.3% increase from the current level. Wilson believes that the Fed rate cuts, improving economic growth, and potential deregulation by the Trump administration should make investors bullish on the stock market.
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.