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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
U.S. stock market morning session | Tesla surged more than 8%, with a market cap exceeding $1.1 trillion; Xiaomi ADR soared 5% after earnings, with Q3 revenue reaching a record high of $92.5 billion.
On the evening of October 18th, Beijing time, the market this week is focused on the earnings reports of several important companies including nvidia, as well as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut policy and the outlook for the US stock market after the elections.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook | Expectations of interest rate cuts sharply cooling! Nomura: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will hit the pause button on interest rate cuts in December; Tesla pre-market trading surges nearly 7%! The Trump administratio
nvidia fell more than 2% in pre-market, as the Blackwell chip has a 'heating issue'; super micro computer rose over 10% in pre-market, as the company plans to submit a compliance plan to avoid (delisted) risk.
Technical analysis master's blockbuster prediction: US stocks may be about to peak!
Bank of America also listed three major risks, highlighting the precarious rise of the U.S. stock market following Trump's victory.
Daily options tracking | Trump's assistance? Tesla rose more than 8% in pre-market trading, with a large single l bet on the rise last Friday; Palantir hit a new all-time high! Multiple call options made over 9 times profit.
Super micro computer surged over 17% in pre-market today, following reports that the company will submit a compliance plan to avoid (delisted) risk. The stock rose over 3% last Friday, with implied volatility soaring to 219.62%, reaching its highest level of the year, and call options saw a surge in demand, accounting for 44% of the total. On the options chain, among the expiring contracts this Friday, the call with a strike price of $23 had the highest volume, reaching 6,000 contracts.
What signal? Buffett's cash position has been increasing year after year, surprisingly coinciding with the trend of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Recently, the 'Stock God' Buffett once again 'cleaned out' stocks, which has attracted high market attention. The latest quarterly report shows that Berkshire continues to reduce its stock holdings, with the company's cash reserves reaching a historical high of $325.2 billion, an increase of 17.4% from $276.9 billion at the end of the second quarter.
Latest holdings exposure on Wall Street! Wells Fargo & Co, bank of america 'abandon' apple
U.S. stock market barometer.
Dollar, Treasury Yields Could Correct Lower -- Market Talk
Four key economic data points in the usa worth paying attention to this week
This week, there are several usa economic data points in the cryptos market worth looking forward to. These events may affect the sentiment of traders and investors, thereby influencing their trade strategy and possibly leading to volatility.
Will Trump's presidency lead to a resurgence of inflation in the USA? Charles Schwab: Investors should be wary of four major signs.
①Charles Schwab strategists predict that although overall inflation in the USA is cooling down, the downward path will be "volatile"; ②They point out that there are four major signs that may indicate intensifying inflationary pressures in the economy, and investors need to be cautious.
From "Trump frenzy" to concern: The prospect of a "soft landing" for the US economy is being threatened!
① Nobel laureate in economics Joseph Stiglitz indicated that the usa is experiencing a soft landing, but Trump's policies may end this situation; ② Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius pointed out that broad imposition of high tariffs could severely impact economic growth; ③ Chief global economist Jennifer McKeown from Capital Economics acknowledged the upward risks of inflation.
China International Capital Corporation: In the context of a strong economy, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may enter a "slow lane."
As inflation uncertainty increases on a downward path, employment trends stabilize, and economic data continues to improve, the Federal Reserve's confidence in successfully avoiding a recession has likely strengthened further compared to the September meeting. Therefore, decision-makers are unwilling to "act too hastily" and prefer to slow down as they approach the terminal interest rate.
Investors are betting on a rise in US stocks! Analysts warn: the market is dangerously optimistic.
The animal spirits of U.S. stock investors are exceptionally active, but analysts indicate that the "market has become very expensive."
How long can the "Trump rally" in the US stock market last? Bank of America lists three major risks.
① Bank of America lists three major risks that could undermine the rise of the US stock market since Trump's presidency; ② These risks are economic recession, implementation of trade plans, and rising bonds yields.
Futu Morning Post | Suspense Rising Again? Risk of no rate cut by the Fed in December increases, US bonds erase gains for 2024; Foreign giants are making moves! Chinese concept stocks become new targets for additional investment.
BoA's Hartnett: Investment market turning point before inauguration in January, allocating to US bonds, Chinese and European stock markets, gold; 'Most lethal' US Health Secretary nominee, vaccine stocks plummeting for consecutive days; DJT's major shareholder perfect timing to completely reduce shareholding, missing out on 'sudden fortune and wealth'.
Significant reversal! There is a huge uncertainty over whether interest rates will continue to be cut in December.
Although the market had generally expected the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates in 2025, the pace will slow down. Various signs indicate that whether to continue lowering rates in December remains a significant uncertainty.
One Week Outlook | NVIDIA Faces Financial Report "Big Test"! May Guide the U.S. Stock Market to the Next Direction; Trump 2.0 Continues to Disturb the Market, Key Cabinet Positions Become Market Focus.
Companies such as Xiaomi, pdd holdings, Xiaopeng autos, and Kuaishou will also gradually release their reports.
Weekend Reading | Buffett's "market stabilizer": the three most important principles in investment
Treat stocks as a business, the market is here to serve you, not to command you, and always maintain a safety margin. If you assess every decision based on these principles, you won't make mistakes.
Major victory in the USA oil industry! Trump chooses oil company executive as energy secretary, and plans to use the Energy Commission to drive production.
Trump announced another important personnel appointment.
Wall Street investment banks consensus: The Federal Reserve will slow down interest rate cuts in 2025.
Several institutions have already started to reduce their bets on the prospect of Fed rate cuts.
"Trump 2.0" crucial treasury secretary dispute, Musk publicly spoke out! Is the support of certain individuals leading to a major sell-off on Wall Street this week?
Wall Street powerful broker Lutnick seems to have lost the opportunity to compete, prompting Musk to openly support stating that Lutnick can "truly bring change," and stating that competitor Bessent will "continue to lead the usa towards bankruptcy." With Lutnick expressing interest in the position of Treasury Secretary, the market has seen selling, seemingly indicating to Trump that Bessent is more suitable.