US Stocks Likely To Open In Red After Christmas Break But Analysts Still Expect A Santa Rally Into The New Year
Historically, how did interest rate cuts end when the economy achieved a soft landing?
Goldman Sachs found that G10 central banks tend to end the easing cycle slowly and cautiously by pausing rate cuts, with nearly half of historical "soft landing" rate-cut cycles lasting more than a year. The institution believes that the Fed's statement in December aligns with the pattern of slowing down seen in the later stages of rate-cut cycles in history.
The outlook for interest rate cuts is filled with uncertainty! Is the Federal Reserve really going to act based on Trump's opinions?
Not only should the data be considered, but the Federal Reserve's upcoming actions may be closely related to Trump...
What is the outlook for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2025? Trump's policies still impose significant uncertainty.
Currently, the Federal Reserve may need to see the impact of the series of economic policies, including import tariffs, proposed by President-elect Donald Trump before it can raise its forecasts for inflation and interest rate changes in the first half of next year.
Can U.S. stocks continue to rise? Research institutions say it depends on the performance of U.S. bonds and the dollar.
Tom Essaye, the founder of Sevens Report Research, pointed out in this week's report that based on recent trading levels, the dollar currently poses only a "slight" resistance to U.S. stocks, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield presents a "moderate" resistance; if the dollar and bond yields continue to rise from now on, it will cause greater trouble for U.S. stocks.
US Stock Futures Steady After Christmas Holiday