PIMCO, a giant in bond funds, states that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged "for the foreseeable future" and may even raise rates.
PIMCO's Chief Investment Officer Ivascyn believes that the Federal Reserve needs to wait for further clarity on Trump's policies and US economic data. Recent consumer surveys have shown a rise in inflation expectations, indicating that the possibility of interest rate hikes "does indeed exist"; he also warned that the current valuation discrepancy between US stocks and bonds is nearing historical extremes, and if hawkish policies drive up US Treasury yields, the stock market may be under pressure simultaneously.
The yield on USA inflation-protected Bonds has reached a new high since 2009.
The scale of the 10-year TIPS auction was 20 billion USD, with a bid yield of 2.243%. Barclays believes that the rise in real yields reflects the strong fundamentals of the USA economy; in addition, concerns about the USA's fiscal outlook have led the market to price in a long-term real duration premium.
The "Understanding King" is online! Trump speaks intensively at Davos, claiming to understand interest rates better than Powell, discussing tariffs and oil prices.
Trump stated that companies not producing in the USA face tariffs of "hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars". If produced in the USA, they can enjoy a reduction of corporate tax to 15%. The tariffs in Europe are too high, the regulations are too strict, and the trade deficit with the USA is too large, which will lead to measures being taken to ensure that the USA supplies Energy to Europe. Trump called on OPEC to "lower oil costs", stating that this would pressure Russia to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and demanded that the Saudi Crown Prince increase the promised investment in the USA to 1 trillion dollars. He also mentioned that he would "demand an immediate decrease in interest rates" and plans to have a conversation with Powell at an appropriate time.
U.S. stock market closing | All three major Indexes rose, with the S&P continuing to hit new highs; Nuclear Power stocks performed strongly, with OKLO and SMR rising over 13%; Meta rose over 2% to reach a record closing high.
Trump calls on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates immediately. The chip Index and NVIDIA briefly fell over 2%, but ultimately NVIDIA turned to rise, while Tesla fell. Industrial stock Caterpillar boosted the Dow by 400 points. Quantum computing stock Quantum fell over 6%. Nuclear Power stock Oklo, held by Sam Altman, turned to rise over 13%. Electronic Arts Inc fell nearly 17%. After a 0.7% decline, the Chinese concept Index turned to rise, and TAL Education soared 21%.
U.S. stocks in early trading | Bitcoin fluctuated by 4% during the day, with a U.S. senator stating that "something big is coming"; Himax Technologies rose over 16%, and Ming-Chi Kuo mentioned that the company benefits from Taiwan Semiconductor's AI and s
Drone concept stock SES AI Crop surged over 70%, signing a 10 million dollar contract with two Global OEM partners.
U.S. stock market outlook | Unemployment claims data did not cause a stir, the market focuses on Trump's speech in Davos tonight; GE Aerospace Airlines' performance exceeded expectations, rising more than 7% in pre-market trading.
Growth Tech stocks are mixed in pre-market trading, with ASML Holding down over 2%; Chinese concept stock TAL Education is up nearly 10% in pre-market trading, with performance better than expected.