A week ahead | Major economic data from China and the United States is coming one after another! The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and strong non-farm payrolls are on the way; focusing on the 2025 CES Consumer Electronics Show, the U.S. stock market w
At the beginning of the New Year, the Hong Kong IPO market is thriving, with eight new stocks being offered across the year-end, including Bruker, Conch Materials, Saimo Technology, and Yibin Banks.
The "January effect" in the U.S. stock market: Truth or myth?
The data supports this strategy, but also indicates that its effectiveness has weakened in recent years. As for 2025, the driving factors behind last year's high returns in the U.S. stock market still exist, but there are also some concerns.
The first Federal Reserve official this year stated: it is difficult to determine the impact of Trump's policies, and MMF policy will depend on economic data.
Federal Reserve Board member Kugler stated, "There is a view that we can slow down and adopt a more gradual approach" while observing data to determine whether stubborn inflationary pressures will begin to ease again. She also mentioned that the current economic situation is good, and although the job market has cooled somewhat, it remains resilient with the unemployment rate at historically low levels.
The Federal Reserve's voting members have undergone significant changes! Two "hawkish" voters, one "dovish" voter, and one Neutral voter have arrived. What impact will this have?
The Federal Reserve is about to undergo significant adjustments.
Will USA manufacturing "revive its glory" by 2025? Bank of America predicts that the US stock market will benefit from this.
① Ohsung Kwon, a securities strategist at Bank of America, expects that the U.S. manufacturing sector is likely to revive by 2025, boosting the overall U.S. stock market; ② Bank of America forecasts that the S&P 500 Index will close at 6666 points by the end of 2025, an increase of about 14% from the current level; ③ Trump's second term is expected to promote policies supporting manufacturing activities, potentially increasing the trend of companies returning.
What poses the biggest challenge to the US stock market bull run? Analyst: US Treasury yields still have room for further increases.
The Evercore ISI strategy team recently stated that the rise in U.S. Treasury yields poses the biggest challenge to the bull market in stocks.
Top 20 by transaction volume | Bitcoin returns to $98,000, MicroStrategy rises over 13%; NVIDIA closes up 4.45%.
On Friday, the U.S. stock with the highest trading volume was Tesla, which closed up 8.22% with a transaction value of 37.896 billion US dollars; Palantir ranked 9th, closing up 6.25% with a transaction value of 4.908 billion US dollars; Cerence, an Auto AI technology company, ranked 14th, closing up 143.76% with a transaction value of 2.549 billion US dollars.
U.S. stock market closing | The Nasdaq stops its five-day decline, gaining nearly 1.8%; Tesla rises over 8%, Cerence, a NVIDIA Concept stock, surges over 140%.
AI and Nuclear Power Concept stocks are shining, Super Micro Computer rose nearly 11%, NVIDIA concept stock Cerence increased by nearly 144%, and Oklo, in which Altman holds shares, rose nearly 25%. Bitcoin surged past 0.098 million USD.
U.S. stock market in the morning | The three major Indexes all rose, with the Nasdaq up nearly 1%! NVIDIA rose nearly 4%, and Tesla increased over 2%; some Chinese concept stocks strengthened, with MINISO soaring over 8%.
On the evening of the 3rd in Peking time, US stocks opened slightly higher on Friday. Major indices rose slightly after a turbulent start to the new year, with the S&P 500 Index possibly ending its previous five-day decline.
US stock market outlook | Tesla rebounds slightly in pre-market! Morgan Stanley is bullish, raising the stock price to $400; Trump wields the 'big stick'! Tariffs will become a hot topic of discussion at CES 2025.
The rise in US Treasury yields and profit-taking by investors have significantly reduced the inflow of funds into global equity funds; MINISO continued to rise nearly 6% in pre-market trading, with the founder stating that the company will continue to develop the IP economy and lead interest-based consumption; after being short-sold by Hindenburg Research, Carvana fell nearly 4% in pre-market trading.
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Stocks Start the Year in Fear
Jefferies Sees Mounting Risks for US Stock Market in 2025
Daily Options Tracking | Tesla's total deliveries fell short of expectations for the year! It dropped 6% overnight, with multiple put options expiring on Friday making over 110% profit; NVIDIA rebounded by 3% leading the "Seven Sisters", with multiple doo
KBW has downgraded SoFi Technologies' rating from "in line with the market" to "underperforming the market", with the stock price plunging over 8%. A put option that expires this Friday has made a profit of 10 times.
Technology giants dominate the US stock market once again, but UBS Group is not worried: there is still room for growth!
UBS Group believes that while large Technology stocks continue to see earnings expansion, their valuation growth is slowing down, making them "cheaper" compared to the overall market, and this trend is expected to continue, hence there is still room for appreciation.
Investors are betting that the USD will strengthen as the index hovers near a two-year high.
Gelonghui, January 3 | Supported by strong employment market data in the USA, the USD index DXY is hovering near a two-year high. The US Department of Labor announced on Thursday that initial jobless claims fell to 0.211 million, a decline that exceeded expectations. Danske Bank strategist Mohamad Al-Saraf stated in a report that this highlights the ongoing resilience of the labor market. He mentioned that due to signs of further divergence between the USA and the eurozone economies, as well as optimism surrounding Trump's inauguration as President of the USA on January 20, investors are increasingly betting on a stronger dollar.
Key focus! The economic event Calendar for the US stock market in 2025 is coming, seize investment opportunities first.
As we enter 2025, new investment opportunities are on the horizon! To this end, Futu News has carefully compiled relevant information to present investors with a quick overview - the 2025 USA Economic Events Calendar, to help seize investment opportunities.
Daily review of investment banks/Institutions' opinions (2025-01-03)
As profit growth slows, the technology giants that contributed more than half of the S&P 500 Index's 23% increase last year may struggle to dominate the market in 2025. Profit slowdowns "may surprise some hard-core investors betting on these very high double-digit growths," said Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, on Thursday. The idea that they can trade together as a whole and lead the market may wobble in 2025.
Despite aggressive interest rate hikes yielding minimal results, the Federal Reserve may face a difficult path ahead in lowering interest rates.
The sensitivity of the USA economy to interest rate trends is not as strong as it was in the past, a fact that poses potential issues for the Federal Reserve's future actions.