Beware of the debt storm! The number one financial stability risk in the Federal Reserve survey is now "it"...
The semi-annual financial stability report released by the Federal Reserve on that day showed that concerns about the sustainability of US fiscal debt topped the list in this survey, followed by escalating tensions in the Middle East and policy uncertainty. This survey was conducted by New York Fed staff between the end of August and the end of October, with respondents including professionals from brokerage firms, funds, consulting companies, institutions, and academia.
The core logic behind the rise of the US stock market: the market bets that Trump will not allow the stock market to fall!
The U.S. stock market expects that after Trump takes office, he will introduce a series of bullish policies, including significant reductions in corporate tax rates and relaxing financial regulations, which further strengthens the market influence of the "Trump put options."
The Federal Reserve: The sustainability of usa debt has risen to the number one financial stability risk, inflation threats are declining, on par with the trade war.
According to the Federal Reserve's Financial Stability Report, the survey found that more than half of the financial professionals interviewed believe that the sustainability of government debt is a prominent financial stability risk in the next 12 to 18 months, an increase of 14 percentage points compared to the last survey. The percentage of those who believe persistent inflation is a significant risk has halved to 33%. Respondents in this survey also specifically mentioned global trade risks, which did not make it onto the important risk list in the last report. Update.
Welcoming the strongest seasonal increase of the year! Goldman Sachs capital flow experts: I ordered a "S&P 7000 points" hat.
Goldman Sachs expert Rubner stated that in the U.S. election years since 1928, the rebound of the U.S. stock market typically lasts until early January of the following year and then fades before the presidential inauguration day.
The Federal Reserve will start a framework review next year, focusing not on the 2% inflation target; Powell welcomes new perspectives and critical feedback.
The two main focuses of this review are: the "long-term goals and mmf global strategy statement" as well as the policy communication tools, excluding 2% as a long-term inflation target, which may cause dissatisfaction among academia and analysts. Internal discussions among officials will begin at the FOMC meeting in January next year, and a seminar will be held in mid-May inviting external speakers. The 2020 review established a decision to allow inflation to "overshoot" for a period of time.
Official announcement! Trump nominates Besant as the secretary of the treasury in the usa. Learn more about this "Soros disciple".
① After going around in circles, Trump ultimately chose the initially most popular candidate for Secretary of the Treasury: Scott Bessen, a former 'Soros disciple' and well-known hedge fund manager. ② So, what specific labels does Bessen carry? What differences are there in policy positions between him and the previous popular candidate for Secretary of the Treasury, Walsh?