The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
Strong dividends are on the rise: a new peak in growth is expected in 2025!
S&P 500 companies' dividends are expected to set new records in 2025, with a growth rate projected to reach 7%-12%, higher than last year's 6%.
What impact do Trump's tariffs have? Federal Reserve officials stated for the first time: Support for further interest rate cuts this year!
①Federal Reserve Governor Waller supports interest rate cuts this year, although he believes that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration may not significantly impact inflation. ②Waller expects the inflation rate to approach the Federal Reserve's 2% target in the coming months and believes that medium-term inflation will continue to move toward 2%.
Bank of America warns: If Trump triggers a tariff bomb, the Federal Reserve may halt interest rate cuts.
USA Silver economists believe that Trump's tariff plan will intensify inflation concerns, forcing the Federal Reserve to end the interest rate cut cycle.
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Looking for a Double Correction [Video]
Trump's advisory team is considering reshaping the leadership of the Federal Reserve.
Trump's advisory team is closely monitoring the current Federal Reserve officials' comments on interest rates to decide on the candidate's name.
Krugman: Is the crazy nature of U.S. debt due to the market believing that Trump will go insane?
Krugman proposed that the rise in long-term interest rates, such as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, may reflect a terrifying, quietly spreading doubt that Trump actually believes the crazy things he says about economic policy and might put them into practice.
Quantum computing, Nuclear Power, Cryptos, cannabis! USA individual investors' "favorite" collectively adjusted last night.
① Although the three major stock indices in the USA fluctuated on Wednesday, the S&P 500 Index, which performed the worst, only fell by 0.16%—a performance that cannot be considered terrible. ② However, for many American retail investors who enjoy the thrill of speculating on meme Stocks, this Wednesday seems to have been a disastrous day: because many of their favorite investment symbols experienced a remarkable collapse.
Research on Stocks has lost its allure, and the salaries of sell-side Analysts on Wall Street have sharply decreased by 30%.
Analysis suggests that the main reasons for the decline of the Stocks research and analysis Industry include the rise of passive investment, the development of AI, a decrease in the number of publicly listed companies, and changes in regulatory policies. The decline of the Industry has also led to a decrease in the coverage of small Stocks in the US market, resulting in inaccurate valuations of small companies by investors, which in turn increases the Company Valuation financing costs, reduces Stocks liquidity, and affects market efficiency.
Henry Hub Natural Gas stocks have kicked off the new year with a "good start," while the S&P 500 Energy Sector leads the way in a turnaround.
The Energy Sector goes from "worst" in the S&P 500 Index to "first" by 2025.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
S&P 500 Starts January With Gains After Santa Rally Busts. What to Watch for Next.
Futu Daily Report | Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts? Meeting minutes show officials are eager to slow down the pace of rate cuts; U.S. stocks are closed today in mourning for the death of former President Carter's.
The Trump team is reportedly considering declaring a national economic emergency to implement high and widespread tariffs; Bearish surprise! A single remark from NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang triggered a collective drop in USA quantum computing stocks.
1/9 [Strong and Weak Materials]
[Bullish and Bearish Indicators] Bullish indicators: Dow Jones Industrial Average is rising (42,635.20, +106.84); 1 dollar = 158.30-40 yen; VIX index is decreasing (17.70, -0.12); active Share Buyback; requests from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for corporate value enhancement. Bearish indicators: Nasdaq Composite Index is falling (19,478.88, -10.80); Nikkei average is falling (39,981.06, -102.24); Chicago Nikkei Futures are falling (39,935, -25); SOX index is falling (5,162.35, -49).
U.S. stock market closing | Jensen Huang caused a collapse in quantum computing stocks, QUBT fell over 43%; China Concept Stocks fell, Xiaopeng Autos dropped over 5%.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.67%, with most China Concept Stocks declining; ② Wildfires ravaged California, and Electrical Utilities provider Edison International fell by 10%; ③ Jensen Huang stated that a "very useful" quantum computer may take several decades to arrive; ④ Intel: will continue to focus on the independent graphics card market.
Wall Street Closes Mixed Amid Rising Treasury Yields And Tariff Speculation
Top 20 Transaction Amount | Quantum Computing concept stocks have significantly pulled back, with IONQ dropping 39%, RGTI falling over 45%, and Jensen Huang stating that commercialization will require at least another 15 years.
On Wednesday, the stock with the highest trading volume in the US market was NVIDIA, which closed down 0.02%, with a trading volume of 31.802 billion USD. The second was Tesla, which closed up 0.15%, with a trading volume of 28.804 billion USD. The third was Apple, which closed up 0.20%, with a trading volume of 9.105 billion USD.
The Trump team is moving to restructure the leadership of the Federal Reserve, with Bowman likely being promoted to Vice Chair for Financial Regulation, and adjustments made to the list of Powell's successors.
According to media reports citing informed sources, Waller, who became a member of the Federal Reserve Board during Trump's first presidential term, has seen his "advantage" for becoming the chairman of the Federal Reserve significantly decline, as Trump is unhappy with his support for a substantial rate cut last September. Trump's advisory team will closely monitor the current Federal Reserve officials' statements on interest rates to assess who is suitable to take on the role of the next central bank leader.
Consumer Cos Up After Fed Minutes Quell Some Rate Fears -- Consumer Roundup