The crucial issue for the market: the sequence of "Trump 2.0" policies.
Analysis suggests that tariff policies are at the forefront, followed by deregulation which will also be implemented quickly. Tax reduction and industrial policies come later, with high uncertainty in the implementation of immigration policies. In terms of policy implementation difficulty, trade, diplomacy, and environment are lower than tax reduction, with immigration reform posing the greatest difficulty.
High tariffs vs. weak dollar: Trump can only choose one?
①The single-day sharp rise of the US dollar, like a towering pillar, may pose a significant problem for Trump, who is currently celebrating his election victory, in terms of how to balance the pros and cons of exchange rate appreciation and depreciation... ②Between a series of Trump's governing principles such as high tariffs and a weak US dollar, Trump can only choose one.
Powell falls into Trump's hands again, how will tomorrow's tough battle be fought?
Powell will need to assure global investors that the Fed can control the impact of Trump's second term and a possible upcoming "Republican sweep".
Futu Morning Post | Trump's trades sweep the market! Three major indices hit historical highs together; with the election settled, Wall Street adjusts down the expectations for Fed rate cuts.
First European Central Bank official to speak out after Trump's victory: closely watching, inflation may face huge impact; mortgage rates soaring along with US bonds, reaching the highest level since early July this year; jefferies financial: the pace of implementation of Trump's policies will dominate the future trend of the US dollar.
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF Options Spot-On: On November 6th, 200.11K Contracts Were Traded, With 1.01 Million Open Interest
On November 6th ET, $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF(SOXL.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 200.11K options for the day, of which put options accounted
Stocks and the foreign exchange market both rise, while US bonds plummet! Is this kind of "Trump trade" really right?
Four major issues deserve attention: whether the Republican Party can control the House of Representatives remains uncertain; Trump's immigration and tariff policies have a negative impact on the US economy; compared to Trump's first term, the US stocks have become very expensive; will traders repeat the mistakes of 2016 and bet on the market trends after Trump takes office.