Institutions | USA Election Day Observers' Guide
The current presidential election competition is still in a heated stage.
One week ahead | Witness history! The US election voting day is approaching, and the Fed interest rate decision is coming.
Apart from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, etc. will also announce interest rate decisions; Super Micro Computer, which is embroiled in financial fraud scandals, will release the latest quarterly financial report; The 12th session of the 14th National People's Congress Standing Committee will be held.
How will the results of the USA election affect the six major industries and leading companies?
Trump and Harris's policies will bring radically different impacts to six major industries: autos, energy, industry, medical health, banks, and technology.
Institutions | The "soft landing" path has not changed, and the noise should not interfere with the Federal Reserve's decision.
The significant deviation in non-farm payroll growth from expectations is attributed to disruptions caused by strikes and hurricanes, this noise is unlikely to alter the pace of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
What should be done next week? Citigroup: recommends taking profits from the "Trump trade", especially focusing on US stocks and the US dollar after the election.
Citi pointed out that the market has partially priced in the possibility of a Trump victory, indicating that the risk-return ratio of related trades has worsened. Analysis shows that investors often achieve positive returns if they make investment decisions in line with market trends after the election results are announced, especially in the s&p 500 index and the usd. Citi maintains an overweight position on US stocks.
Contrary to market consensus! Silver, Citigroup in unison: Selling US stocks if Trump wins.
Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett said that if Trump wins the election and triggers a rebound in US stocks, investors should consider selling; Citigroup's view coincides with Bank of America's perspective; In the view of Citigroup strategists, if the Republican Party wins overwhelmingly, investors should exit the market.