The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
Research on Stocks has lost its allure, and the salaries of sell-side Analysts on Wall Street have sharply decreased by 30%.
Analysis suggests that the main reasons for the decline of the Stocks research and analysis Industry include the rise of passive investment, the development of AI, a decrease in the number of publicly listed companies, and changes in regulatory policies. The decline of the Industry has also led to a decrease in the coverage of small Stocks in the US market, resulting in inaccurate valuations of small companies by investors, which in turn increases the Company Valuation financing costs, reduces Stocks liquidity, and affects market efficiency.
Henry Hub Natural Gas stocks have kicked off the new year with a "good start," while the S&P 500 Energy Sector leads the way in a turnaround.
The Energy Sector goes from "worst" in the S&P 500 Index to "first" by 2025.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
S&P 500 Starts January With Gains After Santa Rally Busts. What to Watch for Next.