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Will there be a rate cut in December? The Federal Reserve's voting members this year have been "playing Tai Chi": regardless of whether they lower rates or not, interest rates should continue to decline.
This year, as with other Federal Reserve officials who spoke on Monday, Fed Chair Daly expected future rate cuts to continue, but did not commit to taking further action this month, stating that inflation continues to trend down towards the 2% target, and even with another rate cut, monetary policy would remain restrictive.
Taking history as a lesson, it may not be a good thing that the US stock market has risen too sharply this year.
The data shows that when the s&p 500 index reaches too many historical highs, usually the next year's return is lower.
Understand it in one picture! When to focus on US stocks, when to layout global: all depends on "it"
For Wall Street traders, when should they concentrate their efforts on positioning in the US stock market? When should they diversify their funds and invest in overseas markets? The answer may lie on a very familiar chart: the 10-year US Treasury yield.
Investors are flocking to the 'old economy', and the US stock market in this area is experiencing the 'perfect upward trend' conditions.
Bank of America believes that the economy is "ready" for a new round of spending cycles, creating perfect conditions for cyclical stocks to significantly outperform large cap in the coming years, with strong returns expected next year, especially in the manufacturing sector. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs also favor cyclical stocks, particularly in the financial sector.
Top U.S. stock strategists: Investors are rushing into the 'old economy', and cyclical stocks will encounter a 'perfect storm'!
The chief U.S. equity strategist at Bank of America stated that a new spending cycle is poised to begin, creating opportunities for cyclical stocks to significantly outperform the market over the next few years.
Daily options tracking | Meta options earned 10 times overnight! Seeking commercial nuclear power for AI, stock price hits a historical high; "AI star stock" palantir rises nearly 7% again, multiple call options expiring this Friday earn over 5 times.
After intel's CEO retired, the board of directors is searching for a replacement, while a major shareholder sold $2 million in put options to bet on a rise in price.
The Fed's expected rate cut next year has drastically shrunk, and Powell may temporarily choose to "settle things peacefully"!
The market has spent two months reducing bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts next year, and the short-term adjustment may have been completed. Powell's dovish remarks could boost bonds and weigh down the dollar.
U.S. Futures, European Stocks Rise
The chip industry has set its sights on nvidia's next-generation chip: Rubin
morgan stanley stated that nvidia's next-generation Rubin GPU has started preparations half a year in advance, and the expected launch time will be moved up from the first half of 2026 to the second half of 2025. Due to the use of 3nm technology, CPO (Co-Packaged Optics components), and HBM4 (sixth-generation high-bandwidth memory), the chip area of the new GPU generation will be twice that of the previous Blackwell. It is expected that companies in the related industry chain will benefit. Analyst Charlie Chan from morgan stanley stated in a report on December 2 that despite the increasing output of Blackwell chips, considering the new chips'...
As the end of the year approaches, will the "Christmas market" in the US stock market arrive as scheduled?
As the year-end approaches, investors are beginning to anticipate the Santa Claus Rally in the US stock market in December.
Australia's regulatory institutions: The AI advantages of large technology companies may harm competition in the search market.
Australian competition regulatory institutions have stated the necessity to reconsider efforts to ensure that internet users have more choices, as Google dominates the search engine market and its competitors have not fully utilized the flourishing development of ai.
Shengbao Banks' 2025 'shocking predictions' have arrived! Trump 2.0 destroys the US dollar, nvidia's market cap doubles that of apple, OPEC disintegrates......
This year, Shengbao Banks once again released a number of 'unconventional' predictions: the US dollar will fall by 20% against major currencies, and by 30% against gold prices; Nvidia's stock price will be far above $250; the first 3d printing heart will be born; oil prices will plummet, OPEC will collapse...
Microsoft Declares $0.83 Dividend
As the end of the year approaches, will the "Christmas rally" in the US stock market arrive as expected?
As the year-end approaches, investors are beginning to anticipate the Santa Claus Rally in the US stock market in December.
S&P 500 Hits Another High As Apple Tops $242 For The First Time: Fear Index Remains In 'Greed' Zone
The FTC has escalated its antitrust investigation against Microsoft! This time, the focus is on its trade with OpenAI.
1. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) of the usa is intensifying its comprehensive antitrust investigation into microsoft, focusing on its cooperation with OpenAI. 2. Last week, there were reports that the FTC is conducting a wide-ranging investigation into microsoft and revealing investigation details. 3. Microsoft accuses the FTC management of leaking details, violating the ethical standards of the institutions, and requesting the Inspector General of the usa FTC to investigate the matter.
The new round of "trade war", Trump is unlikely to win.
Since 2017, some significant changes have occurred, one of which is that china no longer relies on the usa market as it did in the past, which means china has multiple countermeasures to choose from.
Short positions are about to vanish! The s&p 500 index hold positions are "completely one-sided".
Citigroup pointed out that the position of the Standard 500 index has reached a new high for the fourth consecutive week, and more and more short sellers are surrendering. In contrast, the european stock index has been in a net short position for several weeks, with 100% of the bulls in a losing state.
Wall Street's highest target price released! Wells Fargo & Co: s&p 500 expected to reach 7007 points by the end of next year.
On Tuesday, wells fargo & co stock strategist Christopher Harvey and his team released the target level of 7007 points for the s&p 500 index by the end of 2025; This is the highest target price given by mainstream Wall Street investment banks, indicating that the s&p 500 index is expected to rise by about 16% by the end of next year.
"Magical" Wednesday! There are major highlights in Asia, Europe, and America, as the market awaits Powell's speech before the period of silence.
At 2:45 AM Peking time on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver his last speech before the blackout period ahead of the Fed's December meeting.