NASDAQ reaches 20,000 point milestone! Tesla led a group of tech giants to reach new highs. Has the Christmas market started?
Historically, every year on the seven trading days after Christmas, that is, the five trading days at the end of the year and the first two trading days of the following year, investors tend to go long, and US stocks are likely to rise. This seven-day market is called the “Christmas market.” The data shows that in the past 70 years, the S&P 500 index has an 80% chance of rising in these seven trading days.
Wall Street interprets CPI: Without changing the “gradual easing” of the Federal Reserve, strong core inflation supports the suspension of interest rate cuts in January
Analysis suggests that the CPI, which meets expectations, demonstrates that the cooling of inflation has basically stagnated in recent months. While this is not enough to disrupt the year-end bull market in U.S. stocks, it also means that an interest rate cut next week is not guaranteed, especially with the potential inflation upward risks brought by Trump's tariffs and fiscal expansion next year drawing attention. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries first fell and then rose.
Three expected differences of Trump 2.0.
Source: Xue Tao Macro Notes Author: Tianfeng Macro Song Xuetao. The market's perception of Trump's second term has formed increasingly fragmented expectations in terms of policy implementation and specific policy impacts. Currently, the market universally expects better outcomes next year, which requires caution. In the first month after the election, from the unexpectedly strong cabinet selections to the sudden announcement of considering tariffs on Canada and Mexico, the uncertainty and complexity of Trump 2.0 are fully demonstrated. This increases the difficulty for the market to predict the implementation and impact of Trump 2.0 policies, creating some increasingly fragmented expectation gaps. The first type of expectation gap is contradictory policies leading to...
The Nasdaq is at 20,000 points! Besides US Treasury bonds, American investors are Buying everything.
After the release of USA's November CPI data on Wednesday, investors seem to have finally "confirmed" that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week is a done deal; financial markets across asset classes on Wednesday also appeared quite uplifting; apart from the decline in USA Treasuries, investors are buying everything else - USA stocks are rising, Gold is rising, the dollar is rising, Crude Oil Product is rising, and Cryptos are rising...
Futu Morning Post | Pushing US Stocks to Reach New Highs? Trump will ring the opening bell for the NYSE on Thursday; star tech stocks hit new highs, and Bitcoin will rise to 0.1 million dollars
The AI transformation was bumpy, and Adobe's revenue outlook for 2025 fell below expectations, falling more than 8% after the market; Apple launched Siri integrated with ChatGPT, and it is reported that the iPhone SE 4 will be released around March next year.
US inflation remains strong, US bond yields rise slightly
U.S. Treasuries failed to maintain the upward trend stimulated by moderate inflation data.
Treasury Yields Rise as CPI Keeps Fed Cut on the Table -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Recover as Fed Is Expected to Cut, Then Pause -- Market Talk
The USA CPI is as expected; did the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December become stable?
The latest CPI report indicates that inflation is not worse than expected, and analysts believe this paves the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
US stock market forecast | November CPI data meets expectations, the three major futures indexes rise sharply; Quantum Computing concept stocks surge before the market, with Rigetti and Quantum both climbing over 10%.
Pre-market up over 1%, Tesla's sales in China for December usher in a "good start": first week sales of 0.0219 million Autos, Cybertruck has completed Energy consumption declaration in China; Google executive: Search AI is the biggest bet, with an expected investment of 50 billion in 2024.
Major Wall Street firms collectively warn: investors' "frenzy" is waning, and the momentum of the U.S. stock market may slow down.
The famous short seller at Morgan Stanley stated, "The kind of fervent sentiment that helps people purchase U.S. stocks will face a reality check next year."
The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision will be announced next week. Will global stock markets repeat 'Black Monday'?
The Bank of Japan will hold its last monetary policy meeting of the year next week.
U.S. Stock Market Insights | Tesla stabilizes at $400! Will it hit a historical high this week? Strong gaming performance + upward adjustment of annual revenue forecast! Sony's stock price reaches a two-year high.
The Industry's fundamentals have shown a strong recovery, American Airlines' stock price has skyrocketed over 60% since the low in August; insiders continue to increase their Shareholding in the company's Stocks! MSCI's stock price has reached an all-time high.
Daily Options Tracking | Google's quantum chip is extremely popular! A call option made a staggering 63 times profit; NVIDIA's stock price is sluggish, with implied volatility of options increasing for four consecutive days.
After the earnings report, C3.ai's stock price experienced significant fluctuations, briefly rising over 7% before turning negative. During the session, the Options Volume surged to nearly 0.4 million contracts, ranking eleventh on the list of individual stock options in the U.S. market, with a Call ratio of 72.4%.
Economists are ringing alarm bells: a tariff storm is quietly brewing.
The US stock market has continued to rise since the election, and the market has clearly welcomed Trump's victory, but if the president-elect of the USA follows through on his tariff threats, turmoil may follow.
Annual Review | The strongest sector in US stocks for 2024 has been revealed! Technology stocks are leading the way, with the "new AI superstar" Applovin skyrocketing over 700%, and NVIDIA rising over 170% at one point becoming the top company by Market C
The three major U.S. stock indices have repeatedly set historical highs this year, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average once breaking the 45,000-point barrier, and the Nasdaq continually approaching the 20,000-point mark. Even more exciting is that the S&P 500 Index has successfully stood above 6,000 points, marking the 57th closing high of the year.
The CPI figure that will ignite the market tonight - Wall Street will closely monitor this level of inflation.
Tonight! The last piece of potentially market-moving data from the USA for 2024 is coming, and Wall Street is focusing on these readings...
Tonight! The last piece of potentially market-exploding data from the USA in 2024 is here.
① The USA's November CPI data, which will be released tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, can be metaphorically described as "the last heavyweight economic Indicator of the USA for 2024", which does not seem exaggerated. ② With the Federal Reserve's December monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week, tonight's CPI is expected to serve as an important basis for the Fed's critical decision on whether or not to cut interest rates...
Futu Morning Report | Focus on tonight's CPI report! It may become a key factor affecting next week's interest rate decision; Google surged more than 5%! Its quantum chip drove all Concept stocks to soar, with RGTI rising over 45%.
How much computing power does the agent need? Barclays: over 70% of total computing demand, with expenditures amounting to 300 billion; stock prices surged nearly 18%! Reports suggest that USA pharmacy giant Walgreens is in talks with private equity firms for a sale; Bitcoin briefly fell below 95,000 USD! Microsoft Shareholders voted against the Bitcoin investment proposal, stating that returns cannot be guaranteed.
Imminent! A giant has once again issued a warning to the governments of Europe and the United States regarding debt, this time it is the central bank of central banks!
This week, major players intensively warned about the debt issues in Europe and the United States. Following bond giant Pimco and Bridgewater's Dalio, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), known as the central bank of central banks, recently stated that government borrowing habits pose the greatest danger to Global economic stability. The surge in government debt supply could exacerbate instability in financial markets, and the recent changes in market sentiment should be viewed as warning signals.