Trump may exert extreme pressure on the Federal Reserve to make a "historic rate cut".
USA real estate tycoons have stated that Trump's return to the White House will put pressure on the Federal Reserve to significantly cut interest rates over the next year. What can the re-elected Trump really do to the Federal Reserve, and what can he not do?
The crucial issue for the market: the sequence of "Trump 2.0" policies.
Analysis suggests that tariff policies are at the forefront, followed by deregulation which will also be implemented quickly. Tax reduction and industrial policies come later, with high uncertainty in the implementation of immigration policies. In terms of policy implementation difficulty, trade, diplomacy, and environment are lower than tax reduction, with immigration reform posing the greatest difficulty.
High tariffs vs. weak dollar: Trump can only choose one?
①The single-day sharp rise of the US dollar, like a towering pillar, may pose a significant problem for Trump, who is currently celebrating his election victory, in terms of how to balance the pros and cons of exchange rate appreciation and depreciation... ②Between a series of Trump's governing principles such as high tariffs and a weak US dollar, Trump can only choose one.
Powell falls into Trump's hands again, how will tomorrow's tough battle be fought?
Powell will need to assure global investors that the Fed can control the impact of Trump's second term and a possible upcoming "Republican sweep".
The Fed's interest rate cut in November was "no surprise," but has Trump's shadow already cast over Powell?
Wall Street is cutting back on its forecast for a Fed rate cut, with JPMorgan expecting a smaller rate cut after the election than priced in before. Bank of America believes the Fed may pause rate cuts, while Nomura predicts the Fed will only cut rates once next year, compared to the previous expectation of four rate cuts.
Futu Morning Post | Trump's trades sweep the market! Three major indices hit historical highs together; with the election settled, Wall Street adjusts down the expectations for Fed rate cuts.
First European Central Bank official to speak out after Trump's victory: closely watching, inflation may face huge impact; mortgage rates soaring along with US bonds, reaching the highest level since early July this year; jefferies financial: the pace of implementation of Trump's policies will dominate the future trend of the US dollar.