What should be done next week? Citigroup: recommends taking profits from the "Trump trade", especially focusing on US stocks and the US dollar after the election.
Citi pointed out that the market has partially priced in the possibility of a Trump victory, indicating that the risk-return ratio of related trades has worsened. Analysis shows that investors often achieve positive returns if they make investment decisions in line with market trends after the election results are announced, especially in the s&p 500 index and the usd. Citi maintains an overweight position on US stocks.
Contrary to market consensus! Silver, Citigroup in unison: Selling US stocks if Trump wins.
Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett said that if Trump wins the election and triggers a rebound in US stocks, investors should consider selling; Citigroup's view coincides with Bank of America's perspective; In the view of Citigroup strategists, if the Republican Party wins overwhelmingly, investors should exit the market.
Which US technology stocks will benefit from different policies under "Hart"? Credit Suisse provides a reference list.
As investors await the results of next week's federal elections in the usa, JPMorgan has listed technology stocks that may be potentially affected positively or negatively by changes in corporate tax rates, tariffs, and other policies.
Impacting the movement of $7 trillion in funds! The Russell index undergoes a "major revision" with restrictions on company weights.
Revised index for Russell growth stocks and value stocks: the weight of a single company does not exceed 22.5%, and the total market value of companies with a weight of 4.5% or more does not exceed 45% of the index.
Weekend reading | The US election voting day is approaching! Three perspectives on the impact fluctuations.
Overall, the US economy is currently on a steady landing trajectory, with a slowdown but not too rapid decline. This process may be completed during the next presidential term, and the impact from the economic cycle may still be more powerful than the president's policy in the trend over the next four years.
Wall Street review of October non-farm payrolls: the data is very poor, but it does not affect the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut this month.
In the USA, the non-farm payroll employment in October plummeted to 0.012 million, far below expectations, with a 4.1% unemployment rate meeting expectations. Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter known as the 'New Federal Reserve News Agency,' stated that the analysis of this employment report can be subjective, with most Wall Street analysts believing that the poor data was mainly due to two hurricanes in October and the Boeing strike, but some analysts are also concerned that the job market is indeed deteriorating. Almost all analysts believe that this report will not affect the expected 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month.