PSQ ProShares Short QQQ
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Strongly advocate for deregulation and tax cuts! Wall Street rushes towards 'Trump 2.0'.
Regardless of their past positions, or concerns about retaliation by President Trump, Wall Street executives are actively aligning with Trump, anticipating potential tax cuts and deregulation policies. Some are preparing to apply for positions in the White House, while others are willing to provide donations to the Trump team. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs CEOs have previously congratulated Trump, stating that the policies of the new government will have a significant impact on the banking industry business.
Wall Street's latest consensus: In the Trump 2.0 era, the Federal Reserve may slow down its rate cuts.
①After the results of the usa election were released, Wall Street in the usa became increasingly concerned about the prospect of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year; ②On Thursday Eastern Time, following a statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, many investment banks gave up hope for a substantial rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year.
Weekend Reading | Trump returns to the White House, how does the US election tear apart the entire Silicon Valley technology circle?
The technology sector is no longer a monolithic entity.
Bond giant Pimco: Trump is adding fuel to the fire for the US economy, so risk assets shouldn't be too happy too soon.
Pimco warns that the post-election surge in US stocks may face a reversal. Trump's policy plans could lead to intensified inflation, overheating of the economy, and hinder the Fed's interest rate cut process. Risk assets should not be blindly optimistic.
The Fed paused rate cuts as betting on rate hikes heats up! Traders expect an 80% probability of a pause in January next year, with Goldman Sachs expecting a slowdown in rate cuts.
Cme tools show that the probability of pausing rate cuts in December is about 35% in the futures market this Friday, and the probability of pausing in January next year is about 78%. The probabilities announced by the Federal Reserve before the rate cuts on Thursday are 33% and 67% respectively. Goldman Sachs currently predicts rate cuts of 25 basis points in June and September next year, compared to the previous forecast of May and June.
Trading Volume TOP20 | Tesla soared 29% this week, Musk may become a member of the Trump administration; Coinbase closed up nearly 6%.
Eli Lilly and Co, ranked sixth in US stocks trading volume, rose by 4.27%, with a turnover of $5.981 billion; Applovin, an online gaming and advertising company, ranked eleventh, rose by 17.64%, with a turnover of $4.146 billion; Upstart, an ai-driven lending institution, ranked sixteenth, increased by 46.02%, with a turnover of $3.072 billion.
U.S. stocks closed | The three major indexes hit record highs together! Tesla rose more than 8%, market cap exceeded 1 trillion U.S. dollars.
Trump Media Technology Group rebounded by more than 15%; NVIDIA hit a new intraday high before falling back, ending its five consecutive gains.
US stock market morning session | The three major indexes rose together, with Tesla up more than 3%, breaking through the $300 mark; Chinese concept stocks generally trended lower, with ke holdings down more than 6%.
On the evening of the 8th peking time, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Friday. After Trump's victory, investors are weighing the possibility of the Republican Party simultaneously controlling both houses of Congress in the usa, and are paying attention to the latest rate cut measures of the Federal Reserve and the future interest rate path.
Bull market in US stocks is accelerating! S&P, Nasdaq hit new highs together, how long will the "Trump trade" last?
French Industrial Bank believes that 'Trump trades are at their peak', and U.S. cyclical trades should last at least until the inauguration day (January 20, 2025), while stocks dependent on Fed rate cuts, such as small-cap stocks, will need to be reassessed by then.
US Stock Outlook | The enthusiasm for the 'Trump trade' cools down! The market questions the difficulty of policy implementation; nvidia continues to rise before the market opens, refreshing the historical market cap of the US stock market
Is the demand for ai chips slowing down? taiwan semiconductor's sales in October increased by 29.2% year-on-year, the lowest growth rate since February; upstart's Q3 revenue was $0.162 billion, a 20% increase year-on-year.
Daily Options Recap | Large options bet of over a hundred million US dollars! Institutional investors collectively buy into nvidia; super micro computer rebounds by over 12%, with call options expiring in the money this Friday doubling in value.
Energy Transfer, the oil & gas pipeline company in the usa, revealed strong Q3 performance the day before yesterday, with options volume soaring to 2.75 million contracts and a call ratio of 99.4%.
"Red Wave" coming? Many experts predict the Republican Party will achieve a "three-peat" victory.
Currently, the Republican Party has already secured 210 seats in the House of Representatives, only needing to gain an additional 8 seats to maintain control of the House of Representatives.
Futu Morning Post | The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled! The financial markets are all celebrating, with the S&P and Nasdaq hitting record highs; Chinese concept stocks are all booming! Foreign institutions believe it is a good time
USA inflation concerns resurface! Labor costs unexpectedly surged in the third quarter; Trump triggers a frenzy in ETFs, with risk asset ETFs attracting 16 times the daily average inflow; Nvidia's stock price hits a new high, with a total market value exceeding 3.65 trillion US dollars, receiving a "buy" rating reaffirmed by Goldman Sachs.
Can Trump fire the Chairman of the Federal Reserve? Powell answered four "no" at the press conference.
Powell made it clear that even if Trump asked him to resign as the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would not "be fired" under legal protection. Earlier reports suggested that Trump intended for Powell to complete his term until May 2026, "but could change his mind at any time".
Full text of the Federal Reserve statement: a 25 basis point rate cut, no dissenting votes.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, with the policy statement wording remaining basically unchanged. There was no clear signal issued regarding future rate cuts, but the expression of confidence in reaching the inflation target was removed.
US stock market early trading | Nasdaq rose nearly 1%, nvidia rose over 1% to hit a new high! Growth tech stocks, Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, xpeng surged over 12%
The three major stock indexes in the U.S. rose and fell unevenly, with the Dow and Nasdaq hitting historical highs at the beginning of the session. As of the time of writing, the Dow fell 0.05%, the Nasdaq rose nearly 1%, and the s&p 500 index rose 0.43%.
The dust has settled on the election! How will the US stock market perform after each election? What other heavyweight schedules are worth paying attention to?
Apart from the Federal Reserve, China Merchants Securities also mentioned that the next 1-2 months are crucial periods to observe the impact of Trump's new policies.
US Stock Market Outlook | The US election dust settles! Global investors turn their attention to Powell; Initial jobless claims data released, narrowing gains in the three major index futures.
Xpeng's pre-market rise by nearly 6%, P7+ launched today, pre-sales orders hit a record high; Goldman Sachs: reiterates 'buy' rating for Nvidia, expects positive earnings revisions to boost stock price.
The Fed's interest rate cut tonight is without suspense! But there are two issues troubling the market.
The financial markets almost certainly believe that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at tonight's monetary policy meeting. But in a suddenly more complicated context, the focus of the market's attention is on the Fed's future work train of thought.
Daily options recap | Coinbase's call option soared 81 times! "Trump trade" bullish news released; Tesla surged 14%, the highest profit from call options was 7 times.
Nvidia rose 4% last night with large buyers purchasing 0.0856 million units of call options expiring this Friday, involving $43.5051 million; The single-day surge of Coinbase attracted short sellers, with large investors betting over $0.2 billion on a bearish outlook.