2025: The "spring" of the Banks arrives, resulting in a huge explosion in profits!
After experiencing a few years of ups and downs, 2025 may be the breakout year for Global large Banks!
Institutional perspective: Pay attention to the market cap management and allocation opportunities of state-owned enterprises.
The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission strengthens guidance on the Market Cap management work of central enterprises, and Market Cap management is included in the performance evaluation of the heads of central state-owned enterprises.
Which bank has the highest dividend yield, and when will the interim dividend arrive?
China Merchants stated that in the A-share market, Ping An Bank, China Zheshang Bank, Xiamen Bank Co.,Ltd., and Bank of Shanghai have high dividend yields; the H-shares of China Construction Bank Corporation, Bank Of Communications, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and Bank Of China also have relatively high dividend yields.
Who will be the first to implement the expectations of a reserve requirement ratio cut and interest rate reduction? Industry predictions suggest that the likelihood of a reserve requirement ratio cut by the end of the year is high, while the interest rate
① Currently, it has entered the observation period for policy effects, and the signals for reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts are unclear. The probability of an interest rate cut this week is low, but the likelihood of a reserve requirement cut before the end of the year is higher, and the interest rate cut may have to wait until 2025 for a suitable opportunity; ② A domestic interest rate cut may further increase short-term Exchange Rates pressure, and the probability of a short-term reserve requirement cut is greater than that of an interest rate cut. Recently, the Renminbi's exchange rate against the US dollar has declined, reflecting more of a passive depreciation nature.
Outperforming 92% of stocks within the year! The four major banks have reached a new high again, and this month they have all faced Shareholding reductions by financing clients.
① Today, the stock prices of the four major banks collectively reached new historical highs, with an average increase of nearly 47% year-to-date, outperforming 92% of individual stocks in the same period. ② Excluding new stock situations, there were 10 stocks that reached historical highs today, most of which, apart from the four major banks, are CNI Mid-Small Cap.Index stocks, with a relatively higher number in the Transportation sector. ③ This month, all four major banks experienced Shareholding by financing customers, with the Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China having nearly 0.2 billion yuan net sell-out in financing this month.
The HSBC HOLDINGS Manufacturing PMI for December is 57.4, exceeding the previous month.
In December, India's HSBC HOLDINGS Manufacturing PMI was 57.4, exceeding the previous month's figure. The December HSBC HOLDINGS Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI, preliminary) stood at 57.4, surpassing last month's 56.5. Additionally, the HSBC HOLDINGS Services PMI for the same month rose to 60.8 from last month's 58.4. The Ministry of Finance recently indicated that the economic slowdown in the July-September period was temporary and that the growth rate would accelerate again in the second half of fiscal year 2024.