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The expectation of alumina production boosts the market for caustic soda, and the profitability of related listed companies is expected to improve | Industry Dynamics.
① Driven by expectations of downstream Aluminum oxide expansion, on January 7, the Futures Block Orders contract SH2505 for caustic soda reached a high of 3068 yuan/ton, refreshing a nearly one-year high during the trading session; ② Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries stated that, supported by the growth in demand for downstream Aluminum oxide and electrolytic Aluminum, caustic soda prices are expected to be running at a high level in 2025.
After the break below, the drop in Aluminum oxide has widened, and is the trend about to reverse?
The decline in Alumina has widened, with market views suggesting that the spot price has fallen significantly, and the futures price may continue to be under pressure.
CITIC SEC: The turning point for alumina may be approaching, Bullish on the expanding profit margins for aluminum.
The easing supply-demand pattern combined with event catalysts has significantly weakened the price of Alumina. Looking ahead to 2025, it is expected that as the price of Alumina gradually declines and the price of electrolytic Aluminum remains strong, the profits in the electrolytic Aluminum Industry are likely to return to the main line of investment in the Aluminum Sector.
Hong Kong stock Concept tracking | The tight supply issue of bauxite requires time. Institutions are Bullish on the inflection point of alumina or until (with related Concept stocks).
The supply of Guinea ore and the production of alumina are the main points of contention in 2025.
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